Agrarian Economy 2020 Т. 13 № 1-2:80-85

Modeling agricultural development depending on environmental production

Stupen M., Doctor of Economics, Professor
0000-0002-7599-8261
Lviv National Agrarian University
Taratula R., Ph.D., Associate Professor
0000-0002-6943-382X
Lviv National Agrarian University
Ryzhok Z., Ph.D.
0000-0003-0733-5658
Lviv National Agrarian University
Stupen O., Ph.D.
0000-0001-6702-0987
Lviv National Agrarian University
https://doi.org/10.31734/agrarecon2020.01.080

ANNOTATION

The article shows that the main focus of agricultural development is made on greening, which is aimed at reducing the integral ecological destructive impact of production, consumption of goods and services per unit of total public product. It is established that greening is a purposeful process of economic transformation, aimed at reducing the integrated eco-destructive impact of production processes, consumption of goods and services per unit of total social product. It is investigated that the greening of production has a quantitative and qualitative certainty and is expressed by a holistic system of natural and cost (environmental and economic) indicators.Under such conditions, the set goal was to determine the predictive value of the net current income from agriculture depending on current expenditure and capital investment in environmental protection by using mathematical modeling. One observesthe tendency to increase of the net current income from agriculture by 45.8 thousand UAHfor the increase of the current costs for environmental protection according to the regression equation У = 9431.4109 + 0.0458x, obtained on the basis of plotting a graph that reflects the relationship between them. It is estimated that the net current income from agriculture will increase by 969.8 thousand UAHwith an increase in capital investment for environmental protection by 1% of their total number of enterprises according to the regression equation У = 1.2186 + 0.9698x. As a result of the matrix solution, the estimated current net income from agriculture amounted to 139628.86 million UAH at current expenses – 15821.27 mln UAH and capital investments in environmental protection amounting to 8447.29 million UAH, which provides a direct link between the studied indicators at level 1. The relevant results fully demonstrate that environmental parameters directly affect the state of the agricultural land.

KEY WORDS

agriculture, greening, net current income, operating costs, capital investment, environmental protection, mathematical modeling

FULL TEXT

LINK

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Article received 25.03.2020.